The Fear Of Coups In Africa

By Ayo Oyoze Baje

“Most of wars or military coups or invasions are done in the name of democracy against democracy” –Eduardo Galeano (Uruguayan journalist)

My dear faithful reader, let us begin with the all-important questions: Why do the citizens in the African countries such as Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger and most recently that of Gabon involved in military coups take to the streets to rejoice with the putchists? Secondly, why are the current presidents of Rwanda and Cameroun making frantic efforts to rejig the military architecture in their countries, in a rapid response to the coup in Gabon? And what really is a military coup and who are afraid of it and why? The answers to these questions are not far-fetched; going by the empirical evidences on ground.

According to Wikipedia, a coup d’état which in French stands for ‘stroke of state’, or simply a coup, is “an illegal and overt attempt by the military or other government elites to unseat the incumbent leader”. On his part, Edward Luttwak , American writer states that: “A coup consists of the infiltration of a small but critical segment of the state apparatus, which is then used to displace the government from its control of the remainder”.

Ordinarily, lovers of democracy would want to distance themselves from coups because as the Russian President -Vladimir Putin explained: “Respect for sovereignty means to not allow unconstitutional action and coup d’états, the removal of legitimate power”. This position however, triggers the pertinent question-is democracy being practised as it should in the African countries so far affected by coups-both military and civilian-instigated variant of it? It would be interesting to note that the recurring reasons given by the coupists for taking over political power from the democratically elected presidents, all dovetail to persisting insecurity, enslavement to some foreign colonialists, economic doldrums and corruption as reflective of course, by poor governance. These have been similar reasons given for that from the Sudanese coup d’état on April 11, 2019, following mass demonstrations calling for the ouster of President Omar al-Bashir, deposed by the Sudanese Armed Forces through to the Malian coup d’états on August 18, 2020 and that of May 24, 2021.

In a similar vein were the reasons given on July 26, 2023 for the coup in Niger Republic ,led by General Tchiani, an ex-UN peacekeeper who seized power and blamed rising insecurity and a lack of economic growth under the Mohamed Bazoum-led government.On their part, the Gabonese army officers who staged the coup on August 30, 2023 under the aegis of the Committee for the Transition and Restoration of Institutions to oust President Ali Bongo from power after 56 years of his family’s firm grip on power had their salient reasons for doing so. They stated that: “We are therefore forced to admit that the organisation of the general elections of August 26, 2023, did not meet the conditions for a transparent, credible and inclusive ballot so much hoped for by the people of Gabon.

“Added to this is irresponsible and unpredictable governance, resulting in a continuing deterioration in social cohesion, with the risk of leading the country into chaos”. With all these thought-provoking reasons given by the coupists African leaders should have a moment of sober reflection and ask themselves the significant questions. For instance, the right feature to begin with is that of election. Was the election that brought me to the pedestal of power free, fair, credible and of international standards? Am I the right choice of the people, or have I deployed the Machiavellian, dictatorial doctrine of might-is-right to foist myself on the hapless people?

As for those who are currently holding the reins of political power it has become expedient to find out if the government is being run by the dictates of democracy. This brings to the political spectrum the matrix of governance that is in sync with the rule of law, with policies, programs and projects evolving from the collective wishes of majority of the people, instead of the vaulting ambition- as William Shakespeare would put it- of a few greedy, self-serving and avaricious political jobbers brow-beating their wishes on them. That brings us to the history of how democracy evolved from Ancient Greece.

According to H.A Clement, the author, of ‘The Story of the Ancient World’: “ At first the Greek tribes who had founded the city-states were ruled by the kings, but about 700BC the kings had been expelled in most of the cities…Monarchy then gave way to aristocracy, when only a few of the wealthy, noble families ruled. But this was found to be unsatisfactory…because the poor people were often ill-treated. Subsequently, “many cities came under the rule of one man again..who was not called a king but a tyrant,.. many of who were overthrown. It was then (500BC) that many cities adopted the third kind of government, democracy.” Kindly take good note of this aspect. “Their cities were small enough to enable all the citizens to meet together to make decisions, and they did not need to elect representatives as we do”.So, let us fast forward to the current African type of democracy. The situation raises some questions again. What is the cost of accessing political power? In a country such as Nigeria where presidential aspirants have to pay humongous sums of between N40 million to N70 million for nomination form , has the space not been overtly skewed in favour of the richest of the rich, not minding if they have the pedigree or the love of the people at heart? And what manner of political structure do we have on ground? In a situation whereby enormous political powers are placed at the executive arm of government –to literally do and undo at their whims and caprices-just how pro-people is that structure?

The answer is patently obvious. It means therefore, that by the time the winners get into office, the huge pay structure, appointments and the running of government would swing in favour of the rich rather than the vast majority. As it relates to some African countries that makes it a government of the rich, by the rich and of course, to satisfy the epicurean tastes of the rotten-rich individuals. So, when they begin to flounder and the people get poorer why would they not take to the streets to rejoice with the coupists? That explains the position of the former President of Algeria, Ahmed Ben Bella that: “Everywhere that the struggle for national freedom has triumphed, once the authorities agreed, there were military coups d’etat that overthrew their leaders. That is the result time and time again”.

Good governance, that is tailored towards satisfying the crying needs of the masses-to pull them out of the ignoble pit of poverty, ignorance and diseases- has therefore, become the alternative to the series of military coups in Africa.

SOURCE: The Sun

The impact of Nigeria’s interference with Niger on the Middle Belt.

By Tislo Pam

Over the course of the last three days, news of impending attacks by the Nigerian military on Niger have filled the airwaves. The coup which happened on the 27th of July, 2023, has had the world speaking especially considering the players who are involved. Think pieces and articles have been written opinions have been given on the situation. However, the real cause of the issue must be discussed for what they really are.

The interference from the French who have held on to them by the apron strings since the end of colonialism. Nigeriens consider the interference of France as imposing and exploitative as their fortunes have not improved despite their proximity to the French.

In videos showing the celebrations of citizens in the streets of Niger, they expressed similar sentiments on the presence of France has been detrimental to them, chanting phrases that indicate the dislike for France.
The issue has been discussed and has hit the crescendo of concern with the Nigerian public which are largely concerned about a lot of things should this happen: the impending embarrassment that awaits the Nigerian army and its people in general as details show they have the support of the Russians; the doggedness of the new my sworn in President Bola Tinubu whose legitimacy is being challenged at the court with other contestants and the potential influx of unwanted migrants into the country particularly the Middle Belt. This concern is one that worries many from the region because in time past, numbers have been a major problem in determining power rotation and politics.

A potential migrants influx into the region does two things: heightens the conflicts that have bedevilled the region and give the upper hand to settlers of which the current settlers of Fulani descent share affinity with. In relation to the ousting of Bazoum, the Nigerian president who was deposed by the Nigerian military, the core north has shown its immense displeasure at the treatment of the man.

For a lot of core northerners in Northern Nigeria, sympathy is at an all time high for Nigeriens with whom they share ancestral affinity with. With an already porous border in the north, movement of migrants will occur unchallenged. Porous borders can mean access to unscrupulous migrants who can cause further harm, especially since Nigeria has fought against insurgency against Boko Haram and Fulani herders. With a very tumultuous history of fighting insurgents and a clear struggle to keep them at bay, this could result to full scale conflict of heightened proportions.

Migrants especially in a place like Nigeria cannot be kept out and as such will migrate down south which would require them going through the Middle Belt. What we will be dealing with essentially will be refuelled agitations of settlers in the Middle Belt as migrants with who they deem brothers, to secure political positions and challenge the place of natives.

This sympathy could become an Achilles Heel for natives who have hundred thousands of natives who have been displaced and settled elsewhere. Villages which have been razed down and lay empty, will then be reoccupied by these foreigners and a slow and gradual attempt at rewriting the history of the Middle Belt. This is a fight for existence and survival.

The Middle Belt should not ignore the impending dangers of the coup that intends to destroy what we have as a people, a region and most of all, an identity.

A glimpse into Africa’s future

…History belongs to those willing to fight for what they desire. Either you have an agenda you’re assiduously working towards or others will use you to achieve theirs.

Over the past few months, we have discussed topics including “The Rule-Based Order” — The Ajebutter Collective, Democracy: Faults & Contradictions, and If not autocracy or democracy, then what?. We also took time to explore The right to legitimacy, in an attempt to clarify who determines what is legitimate — the people or “the international community”.

As Africans, we have always desired success but due to the tragedy of history, we have had to look outside for possible examples to emulate. Today, we desire to emulate the successes of The West which may be an extension of our trauma or a case of Stockholm syndrome. But is this a realistic endeavour to undertake?

Achieving success across the continent has been a desire we hold for generations, a desire which grows with each passing day along with the scale of effort required to achieve it. But in all this time we have not taken the time to determine if, in achieving this success replicating the west is worth it, at what cost would it be, and if there are far better examples suitable for our soul to emulate.

We cannot plunder

Previously, in the article “The Rule-Based Order” — The Ajebutter Collective, we looked into the west’s interaction with Africa over the centuries and its implication on our reality today. We also discussed how the west achieved its success at the expense of our very soul and why to this day we subsidise their lifestyle by the way trade and the international system are configured with them as its primary focus.

The secret of the west’s success is not something so enigmatic beyond our imagination. To summarise, it’s us — Africans & the Global South (GS). There is a belief that the west’s success is due to the absence of human nature, some advanced process of thought & diplomacy, or an evolution of the human itself (Homo democratia). This belief is wrong, so fundamentally wrong that much discussion must be carried out on this in the future.

The west’s success is not due to any advanced thought process, out-thinking their problem/reality, the art of diplomacy or an evolution of the indigenous European into a new form of Man. At the root of the west’s success is a very simple process of plunder.

A 500+ years worth of plunder across Africa & the GS is the very root of their prosperity. Our experience living through the Age of Discovery, the Trans-Atlantic Slave Trade, the institution of Settler Colonialism in South Africa, America, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, etc., and a campaign to enforce colonies on Indigenous Africans along the borders drawn in 1884, Berlin Conference where no single African was present to voice an opinion on either the act or the resulting arrangement needs to be recognised as a trauma/tragedy which still informs aspects of our reality today.

It is important to spend a few moments on the paragraph above to understand how we got to where we are, the trauma we are living and the crime against humanity still being legitimised today. This is crucial because every so often I run across Africans sometimes Yorùbá like me who take the Berlin borders as an act of god, and express desires for us to forget the past, move on and simply make things work by accepting reality as they are. I vehemently refuse such a reality.

I refuse because the past is as important as the present and as it informs the future. It allows you an expansive knowledge of your immediate environment ensuring you understand who your natural allies and likewise enemies (we all have one, to think otherwise is a fool’s errand) are. Understanding the past does not connote being trapped within it, rather, it reduces the likelihood of us repeating the same mistakes, a task we have failed at.

The absence of a self-critical analysis of our past from a perspective primary to our respective reality has led to decisions that are detrimental to our existence. Your perspective must be primary when evaluating past events because every so often people pass on European/other’s views, perspectives & analysis of history as theirs. Such inadequacies continue to lead to bad choices across all spheres of our life. These choices have ensured a regression of our society as we keep chasing European/external solutions designed to solve European/their issues without realising such are mostly inapplicable to us.

It does not apply to us because our reality, history, geography, culture, ideology and spirituality differ with zero correlations at times.

The west’s success is not due to any advanced thought process, out-thinking their problem/reality, the art of diplomacy or an evolution of the indigenous European into a new form of Man. At the root of the west’s success is a very simple process of plunder.

Absence of Human Nature?

It is far more affordable in the presence of abundance and leisure to set aside human nature. Therefore, Europeans act holier than thou due to having limited worries beyond strategising how to plunder & subjugate much of the world.

Taking France as a case study, recently, it began to experience a fuel crisis which continues to linger. As someone who has lived through this repeatedly all my life in Nigeria, it can get worse. The effect of this crisis coupled with dissatisfaction, protests and strikes preceding it on French society has led to an increase in tension across the country which has made Macron contemplate calling in the military, a drastic action for a “liberal democracy”. Of the many realities currently present in France, I would like us to consider the tweet below.

The tweet above is not an attempt to dwell on the current struggle of the French people — maybe there is a little satisfaction in having them experience a bit of the pain the rest of humanity deals with daily. Rather, to present the toll that these crises have had on the average french citizen over the years. Also, this signifies the presence of human nature in France as well.

Given equal circumstances, human actions devolve to their primal nature. For the French, human nature has begun to awaken from its long slumber. It is important to be aware that no amount of thought can overcome the frustration of queuing for hours if not days for a few litres of petrol. It’s easy to ignore human nature when there is an abundance of resources, prosperity and leisure. This state of overwhelming abundance makes some have illusions of being a better version of humanity compared to others, and postulate unrealistic idealistic concepts as to why the rest of humanity is stuck as they are. But, put them in a situation with a degree of scarcity of all things, and you’ll get this reaction — an expression of human nature.

The reveal from COVID till now is that Human Nature reigns supreme and Africa & the Global South are as human as the west. We simply lack in abundance and prosperity.

Africa’s future is regional

A glimpse into Africa’s future is not for the faint-hearted. Much has been said over the past decade about Africa’s rising status which has become a missed opportunity. Though there is some progress sprinkled around, Africa has instead regressed on many indices over the past decades. None is more obvious than the backslide of West Africa (WA) and the Sahel, and how their future becomes increasingly bleak.

We have all had that moment where we had to state Africa is not a country/monolith. This is even more true now when looking ahead to what’s coming for the continent. I have come to understand Africa’s future is regional. A focus on regional development, nuances and history will do a lot of good for the continent’s progress & future.

Firstly, Africa is used across my writing as a substitute for Sub-Sahara Africa i.e the aspects of Africa south of the Sahara inhabited by indigenous ethnicities. Africa comprises different regions each with its own regional body whose role is to mediate the geopolitical terrain and trade relations among other responsibilities. It is across this divide our future will be determined.

A glimpse into Africa’s future is not for the faint-hearted … Africa has regressed on many indices over the past decades. None is more obvious than the backslide of West Africa (WA) and the Sahel, and how their future becomes increasingly bleak.

Africa’s future as it was in the past will be determined by its different regional groupings with a degree of independence from one another. Also crucial is how they can redefine trade, movement and security of the continent in the 21st century. This is because as a continent with such expansive land & human resources coveted by all, the scale of prosperity and industrialisation is too massive to be tackled as a collective concurrent outcome.

As in the past, our road to development, its meaning and purpose, and how we will achieve it will differ between regions. Each region is required to construct a vision for the future and strive with their all towards these goals which include the need to conquer navigation within the continent for inter-regional relations.

Of course, the best outcome will be for inter-regional trade, movement and network to be developed concurrently within a mutually beneficial framework. These are not a new proposition, but a restoration of what once was which was dismantled by alien marauders who forced upon us a framework which feeds exclusively their interests. The restoration of trade lines and familiar diplomatic relations on the continent will do us much good.

On West Africa & The Sahel

History belongs to those willing to fight for what they desire. Either you have an agenda you’re assiduously working towards or others will use you to achieve theirs.

I realised that focusing my attention on West Africa (WA) & the Sahel which are my primary concern serves a better purpose. Though, my opinions may possess a degree of adaptability to other regions and serve as a point of reference.

As in the past, our road to development, its meaning and purpose, and how we will achieve it will differ between regions. Each region is required to construct a vision for the future and strive with their all towards these goals which include the need to conquer navigation within the continent for inter-regional relations.

Recently, I observed the trajectory of WA & the Sahel towards overtaking the Middle East as the forgotten region of the world. A region filled with chaos and crisis for decades to come, a black hole of media coverage, poverty-stricken, forgotten and left to its fate.

https://twitter.com/mosobande/status/1580792567964524546?s=20&t=4CMYfX0cN3nfaXuMSiETPQ

There have been a series of events in these two regions in recent years including the rising case of attempted & successful military coups, different degrees of armed struggles by different groups, the rise in terrorism, and the relocation of jihadist organisations/networks to the regions. All these, coupled with a rising case of economic and political instability in Nigeria, West Africa’s supposed hegemon, and other states in the regions.

As the global geopolitical shift continues to intensify on multiple fronts including the economy and recent semiconductor restrictions, it is unlikely that the world has much attention to spare on us. If recent events are any indication, a complete focus on Ukraine to the detriment of other issues of equal or greater importance, like the Ethiopia-Tigray war, has proven once again where the heart and attention of the world lies and for whom they are ready to dare our collective nuclear annihilation. All these are realities we can neither run away from nor hope to wish away.

https://twitter.com/mosobande/status/1580792554601467904?s=20&t=n4E9fBEgqF5OMZ9vtBr1JA

Likewise, the desire of the international community or their appetite is quite irrelevant to the developing reality. The possibility that either the west or the rest of the world will have enough attention or funds to spare for us in the face of the current global recession, food shortage, geopolitical realignment and other crises is practically non-existent. The most likely scenario is for us to be caged within the African subcontinent.

Recent development has shown desperation in the west to prepare against a migrant crisis. Western Europe and North Africa have developed measures and mechanisms to “contain” the situation. In addition to this is the fact that our relationship with the west has not changed much over the more than 5 centuries we’ve related with each other.

Africa has certain demographics and internal dynamics — which will lead to certain outcomes, and neither Europe nor the USA have the interest, nor the desire to commit resources to have any impact on these outcomes in the long run.

Also, the revolt of Francophone West Africa against the French shows a forced divestment from those who are considered traditional partners in the region. The new allies moving to the region in light of current geopolitical realities point more to a coming crisis and instability as we become a node in the challenge of “The Rule-Based Order”.

Crucially, it cannot be expected of those of us who live in these regions to accept the status quo — poverty & crisis-ridden — existence simply because we want to keep the alien overlords happy. Inherent contradictions instituted by the same group are the core of the current crisis escalating through the regions and much of Africa. It’s us living within these regions who will determine our fate regardless of what is affordable, preferred or appetising to any external entity.

As it was in the past when slaves on the plantation are not expected to consider either their master’s or any other’s appetite in their struggle for freedom, emancipation and dignity, so too will the appetite of the European or any external entity be of any consideration today.

I’ll have loved to hear the speeches given to slaves on the plantations back then on why their master and America didn’t want them to be free.

I think that what is West Africa and the Sahel need to be properly defined and delineated along with other realities. Currently, the map along the 1884 Berlin borders is a tragedy to behold, a crime against humanity which requires justice and effort towards restoration even today.

West Africa needs to also be properly reconstituted along familiar lines to optimise opportunity towards a prosperous, industrialised and developed future. We must not be crippled by fear of the past, as much as there was competition, it was healthy in a lot of ways.

Like Europe, with a redrawn border informed by historic and familiar relations of different groups coupled with trade policies, diplomacy and a degree of regional integration, we can achieve the success we’ve always dreamed of.

Beyond the Berlin Border – Restoring Africa’s Nations and Civilisations

…Despite our struggles, we are still stuck in the 19th century and our souls continue to revolt in rejection of the realities carved by aliens with neither context nor consent.

By Olúwáṣèyí and Adejumo David Adebayo

This work is in collaboration with Adejumo David Adebayo. He provided the research used for this piece which is the first of many contributions to Àṣírí Ọ̀rọ̀. There are a few maps presented throughout the article, please spend a few moments digesting them.

African Nations and Civilisation were disrupted 138 years ago at an event in Berlin, Germany called the Berlin Conference, Congo Conference or West Africa Conference. Today’s boundaries, which are a legacy of the colonial era, and the resulting languages through which we express our realities also follow these colonial claims over our respective existence as Africans.

These claims continue the centuries of humiliation where even today we lack any true nation on the continent which reflects the wishes of the indigenous people, their ethnicity, culture and civilisation. Though a limited few are free of this curse, the sovereignty of Africa’s true nations which was stolen continues to be held hostage.

In most of these African countries with white settlers, colourism exists in addition to apartheid that favours white settlers against the indigenous people. In these states, creating a racial consciousness towards promoting Black/African solidarity as a common factor becomes a necessity. During this period, ethnic consciousness is jettisoned or reduced for the sake of solidarity against a common white settler threat, until such a time when the threat posed by this alien group and their hegemonic status is nullified.

But in West Africa, white settlers were unable to entrench themselves despite repeated attempts at carving a colony to settle. Therefore, the absence of a settled white population and its resultant threats has led to a more pronounced ethnic consciousness over race.

Foundations of a Nation

A nation is born from commonalities of groups that exist within its bounds. Observing the different nations of the world across different continents, a pattern emerges especially in terms of the economic success and stability of such nations. A common pattern with these nations is the homogeneity of their societies. Although, a Mono-Ethnic country is a rare find, however, the stability of nations can be observed to correlate to how homogenous they are.

To be homogeneous is to be of the same or a similar kind, it is not the absence of difference. Homogeneous countries consist of groups with shared history, roots, ideology, spirituality, culture, civilisation, etc. All this and others work together to form a binding force, a myth, and a civilisation on which a nation is built. It’s not a lack of differences but the presence of a high degree of similarities that reduce the complexity of these societies because they are more likely to agree on the fundamental principles that will guide their collective consciousness towards a shared goal. There are always others in such societies as you observed in nations across the world but one group, one identity, one ethnicity, one civilisation forms the bedrock of these nations around which others gather.

An interesting observation of note is that in most of these nations, they are named after the major ethnic block that dominates the country with their language, culture, history, spirituality and civilisation. Some examples are Finn – Finland, Russian – Russia, Indo-Aryan – India, Albanian – Albania, Lithuanian – Lithuania, and Nauruan – Nauru, just to name a few. The full list of countries and their ethnic composition can be found here.

The principle of homogeneity can be found in many nations formed by indigenous people across the world and to this day differentiates them from the colonial corporations that litter the subcontinent of Africa. In East Asia, Japan is home to the Japanese, Korea to Koreans, and China to the Chinese (over 90% of the more than 1.4 billion population belongs to the Han ethnicity).

In most African countries, a clear majority ethnic block does not exist as states are split between different groups with very little in common beyond relative geography and skin colour. At times, these groups are ancient antagonists who are still in a state of war today. This is why Africa is not known for inter-state conflict but is synonymous with intra-border wars. This pattern is not unique to Africa as the same has been observed throughout history in similar cases exemplified by the recent experience with Yugoslavia and the current Ukraine debacle. 

In Africa, the root of this is alien, external, colonial and neocolonial. The Berlin borders were conceived at the 1884/5 Berlin conference. A conference whose result didn’t consider the existing realities, identities, history, culture, animosities, ethnicities and consent of the indigenous people, language, civilisations, borders and nations that existed across Africa then.

The opportunity cost of “Beauty in Diversity”

Africa is the most diverse continent and this conference institutionalised the distrust which is inherent in human nature which borders and distance continue to be the only known remedy. Despite our struggles, we are still stuck in the 19th century and our souls continue to revolt in rejection of the realities carved by aliens with neither context nor consent.

Considering the degree of ethnic diversity in countries across the world, a pattern can be easily observed. Comparing countries, continents and their successes, it can be seen quite simply why some countries may fall behind and struggle to achieve success compared to those success stories we consider the first world.

From previous studies, Africa is the most ethnically diverse continent with its nations equally carrying the same fate. With the world’s 20 most diverse countries, we can easily correlate the degree of instability that has become synonymous with the continent to the degree of ethnic diversity of the countries found in it. Although there are many contributing factors, this is primarily a result of the colonial legacy born as a consequence of the Berlin conference.

It is important to note that our actions/inactions perpetuate this reality even today despite compounding evidence both lived and historic that point to the deficiencies and ineffectiveness of these borders. Also, it shows a lack of imagination in the leadership on the continent and how they are so intent to kick these issues down the road. It’s a keg of gunpowder that will ultimately explode as we’ve seen in Ethiopia’s case.

In total opposite to their preaching of “beauty in diversity”, the most homogenous societies are Japan and the Koreas. Likewise, European nations enjoy a high degree of ethnic homogeneity. Strong democracy, a stable society, and a peaceful region correlate with ethnic homogeneity. In contrast to their misadventures in Africa and much of the world, several now-global ideas about the nation-state, about national identity as tied to ethnicity and about nationalism itself originally came from Europe.

For centuries, Europe’s borders shifted widely and frequently, only relatively recently settling into what we see today, in which most large ethnic groups have a country of their own. Even certain small ethnic groups like a Sammarinese from the Republic of San Marino (a population of about 34, 000, became independent in year 301 from the Roman Empire), and a Yap, Chuuk, Pohnpei and Kosrae from the Federated States of Micronesia (a population of about 105, 000, became independent in the year 1979 of living memory from the USA), both with a nation of their own. Ironically, it is the same group largely responsible for the state of confusion African countries are in, that are largely repulsed by the thought of restoring what was or realigning the borders to a state more conducive to the reduction of strife and competition between ethnicities within the Berlin borders.

From the study of ethnic diversity, internal conflicts appear to be more common in highly ethnically diverse (greener) countries. This might make some intuitive sense given that different groups with comparable “stakes” in their country’s economics and politics might be more willing or able to compete, perhaps violently, over those resources. In the case of Somalia, maybe worsening economic conditions or war make people more likely to further divide along ethnic factions. Good economic conditions and an abundance of resources may reduce these internal conflicts despite the degree of diversity, but that does not mean an absence of conflict or competition. It simply offsets the worst of it to the future at such a time when the conditions are bad enough to allow for them.

A case study of Nigeria

Nigeria, likewise many other African countries fall in the category of the state with the most ethnic diversity. In Nigeria, ethnicity and nationality are two opposing frameworks. It is a country where ethnic consciousness reigns supreme due to the reality of its history as a heterogeneous country without a clear majority ethnic/ethnolinguistic/ethnoreligious group to serve as the core. Evidenced by the realities from the days of regionalism, a major singular ethnicity with its culture, language, spirituality, ideology, and civilisation would have been more likely to create a more stable, peaceful and successful nation than what we have now.

The three largest Ethnicities in Nigeria are Yorùbá, Hausa-Fulani and Igbo, each with its unique language, culture, spirituality, ideology, and civilisation. Three opposing and conflicting fundamental principles with little to no commonalities in many aspects and an unwillingness to assimilate into the principles of the others.

In more homogeneous societies, it is easier to rule more democratically or otherwise depending on the desires of the people. This is because, despite disagreements, the threshold of disagreements morphing into conflict/violence is quite high. Such societies share a bond that can be considered similar to that of a family, with which despite the differences that may exist between them they can easily reach a compromise without the need to utilise violence. These differences at times can be fundamental but as in a family, they have a way of eventually working things out without rarely resulting in conflict. This can be observed with the predilection of the Yorùbá today to set up a table whenever a crisis rears its head, a lesson learnt in blood over the 16-year-long Kírìji war between different Yorùbá sub-ethnic kingdoms.

Identity comes with many complications regardless of how much of a social construct we hope for it to be. As is the case of Ukraine, sometimes an ethnic group can fragment with a section determined to be separate and different from the wider group. In times past, this desire is more easily respected and such groups are afforded the freedom to express themselves in all its implications. But today, the trapping of the so-called “modern states” has served as a prison to cage different groups of people with very little to no commonalities and at times with ancient animosities. They are caged within a “country” with a shared border and through a set of miracles beyond human nature/understanding, they are required by the powers that be – who institute these realities in Africa’s case, to create a success story of a nation.

It’s okay to be different

Diversity does not necessarily correlate with conflicts, but in a country like Nigeria, it is hard not to draw such direct correlations as it’s quite glaring. Nigeria’s diversity coupled with interests has led to nepotism, discrimination, supremacism, hatred, toxic political relationships and instability as evident from its incapacity to move beyond the events of 1966 and the glaring realities that accumulated till today. Although these differences existed during the era of regionalism, it was aggravated by the advent of a unitary structure which costs the constituent nations the semi-autonomy they enjoyed during that period.

It has been repeatedly noted that the regional system was bound to fail as crises were cropping up due to the absence of a clear borderline, conflicting fundamental principles, and near-total autonomy of each region. Perhaps the regional political players understood a bit of this but failed at extending regionalism to the security architecture. If such had been done, we will likely not be here today.

In Europe, states with no clear majority ethnolinguistic group like Switzerland, Belgium and in some ways the United Kingdom (UK) exists. However, the system through which they are governed is not unitary like in Nigeria and each ethnicity has a great deal of autonomy. Despite this, there are still self-determination movements in Belgium and across the UK towards achieving further autonomy from the collective. Without at least a version of these systems, Nigeria’s situation will not improve but rather worsen and eventually lead to a cataclysmic collapse as observed in its exponential slide into barbarism.

Across West Africa, a separation between what is West Africa from the Sahel is a must. From the study of Africa’s climate zones, the borders of what should be considered West Africa can be found in the humid tropical zone.

In Nigeria, the Northeast and Northwest are predominantly Sahel in geography, demography, culture, language, and civilisation. They have an unmistakable similarity to the civilisations of Niger Republic, Mali, and Burkina Faso along with their ethnoreligious values, pro-Islamic civilisation, geography, culture, language, climate, and more. The North-central or Middle-belt of Nigeria has more similarities with Southern Nigeria – the Southwest, South-south and Southeast. These similarities express themselves in their traditions, history, language, culture, civilisation, and more. Although, it must be noted similarities do not connote sameness.

Africa’s Indigenous Nation States

A restoration of what was is a reality we cannot escape. If not today, its day shall come tomorrow. The indigenous people must be afforded the freedom to express their unique identity, culture, language, spirituality, and civilisation, and to have the capacity to protect themselves from the excesses of others within a defined border that assures their self-preservation.

This freedom is theirs to take. As we cannot tell the oppressed how to react, it’s a burden we carry collectively to seek a pragmatic solution that respects the individual freedom of these civilisations which were upended and trapped within alien carved borders without their consent.

A possible reflection of the ethnolinguistic grouping (as shown in the map above) of Nigeria is a path. A realignment along the ethnolinguistic path may serve as the nearest checkpoint we could fall back to. It also provides the minimum viable nations with the most stability. Across these lines are civilisations with millennials of history that have been inherited by groups within these sections who are unwilling to assimilate into others.

To be homogeneous is to be of the same or a similar kind, it is not the absence of difference. Homogeneous countries consist of groups with shared history, roots, ideology, spirituality, culture, civilisation, etc. All this and others work together to form a binding force, a myth, and a civilisation on which a nation is built. … There are always others in such societies as you observed in nations across the world but one group, one identity, one ethnicity, one civilisation forms the bedrock of these nations around which others gather.

The wider region of West Africa can further develop along the principles of economic integration, a degree of collective political consensus for peaceful conflict resolution, and a military alliance in the spirit of NATO to serve as a collective security assurance among the parties and as a deterrence against any external aggression towards the region from either within or outside the continent.

The sham of multiculturalism

Angela Merkel once remarked on the sham of multiculturalism and its dangers. It is important to enforce once again that these experiments being carried out across Africa have been done for an eternity across Europe, America and the rest of the world. The results had always been the same inevitable fate of violence, chaos and distrust, while its solution remains to allow different groups their autonomy to exist in ways satisfactory to them.

“Multiculturalism leads to parallel societies and therefore remains a ‘life lie,’ ” or a sham, she said, before adding that Germany may be reaching its limits in terms of accepting more refugees. “The challenge is immense” she said. “We want and we will reduce the number of refugees noticeably.” 

In America, through migration and settler colonialism, the result is the near destruction of the indigenous people in the North of the continent – America and Canada, and the re-population (still ongoing through immigration) of those areas which also serve to dilute the indigenous voices. In the south of the continent, the effects of that history are still evident today.

We must not wish upon ourselves this fate nor should we through our dogmatic belief in realising the colonialist dream enforce it upon ourselves.

It’s okay to be different.

It’s okay to be you.

It’s okay to feel like, indifferent and hate towards others.

It’s okay to be as human as every other group across the world.

It’s perfectly reasonable to want to be independent of others on lands that are yours.

As an African, it’s okay to be just another human being.

Ministers, party leaders detained in apparent coup in Sudan – sources

Soldiers arrested most of the members of Sudan’s cabinet and a large number of pro-government party leaders on Monday in an apparent military coup, three political sources said.

The information ministry said “joint military forces” had arrested civilian members of the Sovereign Council and members of the government and had taken them to an undisclosed location.

There was no immediate comment from the military. Sudanese state TV broadcast as normal.

A Reuters witness saw joint forces from the military and from the powerful, paramilitary Rapid Support Forces stationed in the streets in Khartoum.

Sudan has been on edge since a failed coup plot last month unleashed bitter recriminations between military and civilian groups meant to be sharing power following the 2019 ouster of former leader Omar al-Bashir. read more

Bashir was toppled and jailed after months of street protests. A political transition agreed after his ouster has seen Sudan emerge from its isolation under three decades of rule by Bashir and was meant to lead to elections by the end of 2023.

The Reuters witness said military and paramilitary forces deployed across the capital, Khartoum, restricting civilians’ movements, as protesters carrying the national flag burnt tires in different parts of the city.

The information ministry said on its Facebook page that a number of ministers and civilian members of the ruling Sovereign Council were arrested.

Khartoum airport was shut and international flights were suspended, according to Dubai-based al-Arabiya TV channel.

Citing unidentified sources, Saudi-owned, Dubai-based Al Hadath said Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok had been placed under house arrest, and that unidentified military forces arrested four cabinet ministers, one civilian member of the Sovereign Council, and several state governors and party leaders.

Family sources told Reuters that military forces had stormed the house of Hamdok’s media adviser and arrested him.

Reuters witnesses said internet services appeared to be down in Khartoum.

The Sudanese Professionals Association (SPA), a main activist coalition in the uprising against Bashir, called on supporters to mobilise after what it called the arrest of cabinet members.

“We urge the masses to go out on the streets and occupy them, close all roads with barricades, stage a general labour strike, and not to cooperate with the putschists and use civil disobedience to confront them,” the group said in a statement on Facebook.

As tensions built this month, a coalition of rebel groups and political parties aligned themselves with the military and called on it to dissolve the civilian government, staging a sit-in outside the presidential palace.

Last week, several cabinet ministers took part in big protests in several parts of Khartoum and other cities against the prospect of military rule.

The military head of the Sovereign Council has previously asserted his commitment to the transition.

[Reuters]

Secretaries of State, Defense Seek Dismissal of Nigerian Separatists’ Suit

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin asked a court to dismiss a lawsuit filed by a Nigerian separatist group over the sale of aircraft the plaintiffs say will be used to persecute its supporters.

The two officials, who are the defendants in the case, said a federal court in Washington has no jurisdiction to address the claim brought by the Indigenous People of Biafra, or IPOB, according to their motion submitted Oct. 18.

IPOB filed a complaint against the senior members of President Joe Biden’s cabinet in August, asking a judge to compel them to reverse the recently completed sale of a dozen A-29 Super Tucano aircraft to Nigeria’s air force. The secessionist movement’s complaint argued that the planes will be deployed against their sympathizers.

President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration, which proscribed IPOB as a terrorist organization in 2017, accuses the group of waging a violent campaign against state personnel and assets. IPOB says it’s a peaceful movement working to establish an independent nation in southeastern Nigeria that will defend the Igbo ethnic group against discrimination by the federal government.

IPOB’s complaint said Blinken and Austin violated laws intended to protect civilians from harm caused by U.S. weapons in the possession of foreign security forces.

“It would be inappropriate for the court to weigh in on a sensitive foreign affairs matter,” the U.S. officials said in their response requesting the dismissal of the case.

[Bloomberg]

Hundreds Of Sudanese Storm Khartoum To Protest Against Failed Government

Hundreds of protesters took to the streets of Khartoum, Sudan’s capital on Saturday demanding the dissolution of the transitional government, saying it had failed them economically and politically.

The development comes amid divisions in the country’s Sudan’s political scene steering the country through a rocky transition following the April 2019 ouster of President Omar al-Bashir after mass protests against his rule.

Saturday’s demonstrations were organised by a splinter faction of the Forces for Freedom and Change, a civilian alliance that spearheaded protests against Bashir.

A 50-year-old protester, Abboud Ahmed, said, “We need a military government, the current government has failed to bring us justice and equality.”

AFP reports that the protesters carried banners calling for the “dissolution of the government”, while others chanted “one army, one people” and “the army will bring us bread.”

“We are marching in a peaceful protest and we want a military government,” a lady, Enaam Mohamed in central Khartoum said.

On Friday, Prime Minister Abdalla Hamdok warned that the transition is facing “the worst and most dangerous” crisis.

Support for the transitional government has waned in recent months mainly following a tough raft of IMF-backed economic reforms.

It slashed subsidies on petrol and diesel and brought in a managed currency float, measures deemed by ordinary Sudanese as excessively harsh.

The government has also been beset by protests in east Sudan where demonstrators have blocked trade through a crucial Red Sea port since mid-September.

On September 21, the government said it thwarted a coup attempt which it blamed on military officials and civilians linked to Bashir’s regime.

[Saharareporters]

Burkina Faso starts trial of alleged killers of left-wing idol Thomas Sankara

A military court in Ouagadougou on Monday began the long-awaited trial of 14 men, including the former president, accused in the assassination of Burkina Faso’s left-wing leader Thomas Sankara 34 years ago.

The slaying of Sankara, a pan-Africanist icon, has for years cast a shadow over the poor Sahel state, fuelling its reputation for turbulence and bloodshed.

Sankara and 12 others were riddled with bullets by a hit squad on October 15, 1987 during a putsch that brought his friend and comrade-in-arms Blaise Compaore to power.

Compaore, the chief accused, announced through his lawyers last week that he would boycott the trial.

He ruled the country for 27 years before being deposed by a popular uprising in 2014 and fleeing to neighbouring Ivory Coast, which granted him citizenship.

He and his former right-hand man, General Gilbert Diendere, who once headed the elite Presidential Security Regiment, face charges of complicity in murder, harming state security and complicity in the concealment of corpses.

Diendere, 61, is already serving a 20-year sentence for masterminding a plot in 2015 against the transitional government that followed Compaore’s ouster.

He appeared in court dressed in military uniform and looked relaxed.

Another prominent figure among the accused is Hyacinthe Kafando, a former chief warrant officer in Compaore’s presidential guard, who is accused of leading the gunmen. He is on the run.

Compaore has always rejected suspicions that he orchestrated the killing.

His lawyers last week announced he would not be attending a “political trial” that they said was flawed by irregularities, and insisted he enjoyed immunity as a former head of state.

A young army captain and Marxist-Leninist, Sankara came to power in a coup in 1983 aged just 33.

He tossed out the country’s name of Upper Volta, a legacy of the French colonial era, and renamed it Burkina Faso, which means “the land of honest men”.

He pushed ahead with a socialist agenda of nationalisations and banned female genital mutilation, polygamy and forced marriages.

Like Ghana’s former leader Jerry Rawlings, he became an idol in left-wing circles in Africa, lauded for his radical policies and defiance of the big powers.

Burkina Faso has long been burdened by silence over the assassination and many are angry that the killers have gone unpunished.

During Compaore’s long rule, the question of Sankara’s bloody death was taboo.

After his ouster, the interim government in 2015 launched an investigation into the episode, and the following year issued an international arrest warrant for him.

Sankara’s widow Mariam, who lives in southern France, came to Ouagadougou for the opening of the trial.

“This is a day of truth for me, my family and all Burkinabe,” she said, referring to the name of Burkina citizens.

The family’s lawyer, Stanislas Benewende Sankara — who shares the same name but is not a relative — said Compaore’ absence was a “slap in the face” to Burkina Faso’s justice system.

The trial “may not be the end of the tunnel, but we are reaching a very important phase, judicially speaking,” he said.

One of the world’s most impoverished countries, Burkina Faso has also been battling a jihadist insurgency since 2015 that has claimed more than 1,400 lives and forced 1.3 million people from their homes.

[Guardian]

Nigerian Soldiers Invade Cross River Community, Brutalise Youths For Rejecting Fulani Herdsmen

Residents of Nde village in the Ikom Local Government Area of Cross Rivers State have lamented that they were brutalised by soldiers over the sacking of Fulani herdsmen who were terrorising the area.

In a video seen by SaharaReporters, residents narrated that the soldiers flogged no fewer than 10 youths for daring to prevent the herders from grazing.

They claimed that the youths “pleaded with the herdsmen” to leave their land after their cattle destroyed almost all their produce.

They added that consequently, soldiers from the Amphibious battalion allegedly arrived in the community and beat the youths mercilessly, leaving them with serious injuries, for asking the herdsmen to leave.

“The herdsmen then went to Edor Army Barracks which is about three kilometers away to report that youths of Nde attacked them and sent them away from the Community.

The herdsmen then went to Edor Army Barracks which is about three kilometers away to report that youths of Nde attacked them and sent them away from the Community.

“Soldiers from the barracks came in truckloads on Sunday, rounded up youths and took them to the barracks, flogged them severely, leaving them injured.

“Our community is currently on fire as military men dehumanised the youths with the intent to provoke us but we pleaded with the herdsmen to leave our land after destroying our crops to avoid further attacks,” a villager said.

The Nigerian Army has yet to officially react to the invasion by its personnel.

(Saharareporters)

Respect Human Rights in Southern Nigeria Military Exercises: HURIWA Tells Army

Following report that the Nigerian Army has launched multiple military exercises covering the Southern Nigeria aimed at checking the excessive cases of attacks targeting strategic national security institutions/ personnel and the killing of civilians by unknown gunmen, abd crimes, a call has gone to the military high command to abide by rules of engagement, respect for Human Rights of civilians and adherence to the principles of Rule of law.

HURIWA has also tasked the Nigerian Army not to work under a bandwagon conspiratorial plots that the attacks and killings are carried out by the Indigenous Peoples of Biafra but the Army must be open minded, look inwards and investigate the possibility that these attacks may have been masterminded by federal government officials and some governors of the South East of Nigeria who may want to undermine the public acceptance and popularity of the agitation for self determination as canvassed by the Indigenous Peoples of Biafra.  HURIWA expressed consternation that in the past few months many innocent Igbo youths have been killed, arrested, incarcerated and tortured by the security forces under the guise that all Igbo youths are members of IPOB just as the Rights group said even members of IPOB or ESN are entitled to the full protection of the law and therefore must never be killed extralegally by the armed forces of Nigeria which is an institution created by the GrundNorm.  

Making the charge is the nation’s leading civil society group:- HUMAN RIGHTS WRITERS ASSOCIATION OF NIGERIA (HURIWA) just as the group has proffered workable solution to the rising uprising in the South East which according to it would include the recommendation by the South East governors to the president of Nigeria to lift the illegal tagging/classification of the indigenous people of Biafra (IPOB) as a terrorist group and to order the release of the detained leader of IPOB Mazi Nnamdi Kanu and the institution of a genuine National reconciliation and dialogue for South East of Nigeria by both the central government and the South East governors.
“The South East governors should begin by rescinding their ill-informed and malicious decision to recognize IPOB as a terrorist group after which the governors of the South East should openly recommend to president Muhammadu Buhari the deproscription of IPOB as a terrorist group as condition precedent for peace. HURIWA said it is mischievous that the same IPOB that operates freely in Europe and the United States of America are classified as a terrorist group by President Muhammadu Buhari who has yet to classify MIYETTI ALLAH CATTLE BREEDERS ASSOCIATION and Fulani herdsmen as terrorists “. 
Besides, HURIWA through a statement by the National Coordinator Comrade Emmanuel Onwubiko and the National Media Adviser Miss. Zainab Yusuf, has also tasked the South East governors to hire forensic private investigators so the forensic criminologists can ascertain the members of the deep state carrying out attacks on strategic national security institution and operatives and the sporadic but well coordinates assassinations of Igbo citizens.
HURIWA has therefore restated her position that IPOB is not behind the spate of violence in South East since the majority of the victims are the finest crop of Igbo people just as the group suspected that some key officials of the federal government may be funding the violence. HURIWA thereby reminds the military of their legal obligations in all internal military operations thus: “Nigerian Armed Forces when deployed for either internal or external operations, are bound by the laws of war and international law in the conduct of the operations. The laws regulate and limit the conduct of operations by acting as checks against arbitrary use of force. They are intended to minimize unnecessary suffering by combatants and non- combatants during war. The laws of war and international law are therefore sources of military law in Nigeria and include the following:
a. The four Geneva Conventions of 1949.
b. The two Additional Protocols of 1977 to the Geneva Conventions of 1949.
c. Multilateral and bilateral agreements to which Nigeria is a signatory and have bearing on military service or operations.
d. The decisions of:
1.  The International Court of Justice (ICJ) at the Hague.
2.  Ad hoc war crimes tribunals set up by or with the backing of the UN Security Council.
(3) The International Criminal Court (ICC) at the Hague.”
 
HURIWA says thus: “The four Geneva Conventions of 12 August 1949 for the protection of war victims are as follows:
a. Geneva Convention for the Amelioration of the Condition of the Wounded and Sick in Armed Forces in the Field.
 
b. Geneva Convention for the Amelioration of the Wounded, Sick and Shipwrecked
members of Armed Forces at Sea.
c.  Geneva Convention Relative to the Relative to the Treatment of Prisoners of war.
 
d.   Geneva Convention Relative to the Protection of Civilian Persons in Time of
War”. 
The two Additional Protocols of 1977 to the Geneva Conventions of 1949 are to supplement the 1949.
Geneva Conventions and modernize the laws of war.
Protocol I deals with the laws of war in international armed conflicts while Protocol 2 addresses the laws of war applicable in internal armed conflicts.
It is nóteworthy that the four Geneva Conventions and the two additional Protocols of 1977 have been formally given effect in Nigeria by the enactment of the Geneva Conventions Act Cap G3 Laws of the Federation of Nigeria 2004. In sum, the Conventions and Protocols which are now an Act of the National Assembly, elaborately spell out the laws of armed conflicts on the use of force and the legal implication of disregarding rules regulating the means and methods of warfare, among other things. Specifically, section 3 of the Act provides a plethora of safeguides. 

The Rights group therefore asked the military not to apply excessive use of brute force or to torture innocent people in the South East of Nigeria just as it reminded the Nigerian Army that all eyes are watching them and they will be subjected to international legal reprimand should they abuse human rights.